Rob’s Statsapalooza – Part 1

Today’s data post is a data visualization showing a breakdown of submissions to SoFurry! Feel free to mouse-over and explore the data further. It’s embedded below, but if you can’t see it there (some plugins, such as Privacy Badger, don’t play well with iframes), you can follow this link!

About MrMandolino

Mando is a twenty-something writer slash editor from the land of pizza and mandolins. Music lover and music teacher with a degree in Modern Literature.

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3 thoughts on “Rob’s Statsapalooza – Part 1

  1. Beautiful, beautiful job with the visualization Mando. You’ve done a really nice job of transforming this into an actual narrative, instead of a weird dog thing gesturing aimlessly at some graphs.

    (You have also included that)

    One note, since it was part of the writeup and isn’t reflected here, is that I think SoFurry has reached something like equilibrium. Here’s a graph of month-on-month user registrations:

    https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/3291485/user_growth_m_o_m.png

    You can see that user growth is fairly static in terms of month on month new users. But submissions are [i]also[/i] essentially static, as noted in your visualization. If all those users were sticking around, we’d expect to see the number of submissions per year increasing. The logical implication, from my point of view, is that the churn rate is essentially evenly balanced against new user acquisition; there are roughly as many active users now as ever.

    An alternate hypothesis would be that the AUs [i]have[/i] increased, but that per-user contributions have decreased to match. What would we look for to test that hypothesis?

    If SF user activity [i]is[/i] static, though, I would suggest two follow-up questions:

    1) Does this mean that the fandom is [i]also[/i] static? If the fandom continues to grow in size, but SF by AUs does not, that would imply that SF is becoming proportionally less relevant. If so, why? Is the fandom becoming less creation-driven? Is the fandom becoming cleaner? Does SF primarily appeal to a particular age demographic that the fandom is shifting away from?
    2) Can these results be extrapolated to other furry websites? I haven’t spent much time looking at FA or Weasyl, for example, but I also have no reason to suspect that SoFurry would be any different. Do all furry websites hit a plateau and stay there? The continued uptake in membership and continued user activity suggests that SF is certainly self-sustaining and not in any danger of going anywhere.

  2. One improvement I suggest is a footnote briefly explaining Pareto Principle. I had to Wikipedia it. My intuitive feeling is that it probably doesn’t apply to a venue where any participant may submit creative content. I’m not doubting the validity of the principle in other situations.

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